Evil’s Analysis and Picks
Week 13 was good to me, 11 picks.
Nailed the Philly game, the San Fran game and the Seattle game. That is to say, I won both bets and called the pick in Seattle. The rest of that beat down of Orleans was just gravy on the cake.
On the true failures side, I think the Jets didn’t make it out of Miami airport. Maybe they got snowed in.
There are no good bets this week, and considering all the snow I see, that’s a good thing.
My take: Continue reading
Evils Picks & Analysis
I hate week 12. I don’t want to talk about it. Except for the six games I picked. Oh and the Atlanta game where I won the good bet. I’m now only down 10% on good bets.
On the other hand, I failed to nail down a single game, not even the Atlanta game.
On the true failures side, surprisingly there were only two. It would appear that Da Bears’ D is already sitting at the table for turkey, they sure weren’t in St. Louis. And I don’t know what happened to the Giants this year, and clearly neither does my computer.
Evil’s Analysis and Picks
Week 11 is one of my favorite weeks of football. Not only did I call 11 games, but Carolina beat the Pats. Now the computer predicts Carolina as the number six seed in the playoffs. They get to go to New Orleans and get stomped. Guess it’s not a perfect week…
I nailed the Buffalo, Miami and Denver games. I almost called the KC and Denver scores exactly.
On the true failures side, Tampa Bay’s D says Falcons taste just like chicken. Also I can live with being totally wrong about Carolina.
There is one good bet this week and that is Atlanta will cover the spread by beating New Orleans. Continue reading
Week 11 Overview
I am now 1-six hunnit and fiddy on bets that Denver games will go under. Got one. I also gained 520% on gambling overall. Hard to believe because I got most of the fricken winners wrong.
I nailed the Giants game. Not too hard, I’m sure Eli and the boys were looking for little kids and kittens to beat up. Nice of Oakland to satisfy that. Not that it was a beating really. Speaking of teams needing to bully somebody, I nailed the Pittsburgh game, no real surprise there. 2 for 2 on the B team games. That’s exactly the same as flipping heads twice. Continue reading
Evil’s Analysis & Picks
Good thing there were no good bets last week, cause I think I might have called all of them wrong. Got 8 picks.
Of those 8 picks I nailed half of them: Miami, Dallas, Seattle and Oakland.
Of course, I had true failures this time. Buffalo. Never bet on the B teams, the only way to analyze them is to flip a fricken coin. Then there was Washington, that one could have gone either way. And then there was Baltimore. Note the B team… Continue reading
Evils Review and Picks
Week 8 was great, got 11 picks right. Unfortunately the one good bet I flagged was dependent on D.C. showing up with both halves of their team. Someone send a cab to whatever airport bar they are at and pick up their defense.
I nailed the the game in New England. Not too hard the Pats were going to kill them, the question was: by how much? Ditto on the Saints game. And not ditto on the game in St. Louis. I correctly predicted that the Seahawks would NOT wipe out St. Louis.
Even more amazingly I had zero true failures. None of my predictions failed on all three counts, line, over-under or pick. Sometimes the math is all right.
There aren’t any good bets unfortunately, so there will be no redeeming of my good name in gambling. I like to think the glass is half full though, so I’ll say it’s more like no chance of me digging that hole any deeper this weekend.
My take: Continue reading
Evil’s Picks, Bets & Analysis
Well, last week got better for me. First let me point out that ALL of my good bets were right. That’s right, the computer correctly predicted (never mind all those other times…) that Jacksonville would wake up and discover that, even though they really suck, that they actually are an NFL football team. True, they got hammered. But they didn’t get hammered like Vegas said they would. So if you’re gambling with me… well, you’re still down. But only 150% now!
I might be wrong about Detroit this year. Thanks to the slimmest of margins, the computer says they make the playoffs now. Bad part of that is I had to do another strength-of-victory calculation. I need to upgrade my spreadsheets cause that is a pain right now. Continue reading
Evil’s Football Picks & Bets
First rule of loser club: Don’t talk about loser club. So let’s break that rule by pointing out that I got 6 games last week. And over all gambling: down 480%. Even on bets I would have taken, where I essentially broke even, I’m down 20%. I haven’t finished running this weeks sims as I write this. I can’t wait to see if the computer still has faith in Jacksonville recalling that they are, in fact, still a NFL team.
And even if the computer predicts a 15-1 season for New England, I can guarantee you that it won’t happen. Here’s why: NO team who got beat by Cincinnati EVER managed to beat all the other teams they faced. I said that New England would roll over them like a Zamboni on ice. Well they did and proceeded to skid out of control, crash through the catch fence, hit Juan Pablo Montoya, burst into flame and when they came to a stop, Tony Stewart threw a helmet at them.
I did correctly predict that Dallas would cover the spread. They didn’t do it by beating them but I’m okay with that, I’m not a Dallas fan. I called an under bet on that game which failed because it is clear that neither team brought a defensive squad. Continue reading
Evil’s Week 5 Bets and Picks
I’ve noticed a pattern. Week 4 is always bad for my picks. My analysis doesn’t directly take injuries into account and I think they max out about week 4. One of these days when I have some of that magical and mystical stuff we call free time, I’m going to write some software to do a deeper analysis. Lack of free time is why I don’t watch college football. I already spend maximum time on the 32 teams of the NFL. If I started watching all six hunnit and fiddy teams in college I would need to be retired.
Another bet I would have put real money on went down the tubes last week. My boy’s team, Philly, were completely unable to stop Denver as they ran, passed, rolled unabated to the end zone. So much for the under bet there. Denver almost took it over all by themselves. Continue reading
Evil’s Week 4 Picks and Bets
Let’s talk about my picks last week. I got 7. Shut up.
Well, I did great on gambling, except of course, for the one bet I said was worth taking. If Jacksonville did pull their heads out of their asses, then it would appear that Seattle drop-kicked them right back up there. Despite that, I’m up 240% overall.
In the true failure category the computer is predicting Chicago to go all the way to get stomped by the Pats in the Superbowl, but it predicts Chicago losing to Pittsburgh. Da Bears had other plans and redecorated the Steelers stadium with their players.
My perfect games were all blowouts that I didn’t predict, except for the Jets game which I nailed. Continue reading